Introduction
Congratulations are due to Baroness Minette Batters for undertaking a comprehensive review of UK Farming Profitability and for publishing a Report with such meticulous detail. The breadth and depth of the analysis are impressive, and while I do not possess the necessary qualifications or experience to evaluate most of the report’s content, I am keen to listen to, and learn from, the perspectives of those with practical experience in this area.
An Overlooked Factor: Rural Crime and Adversarial Risk
Despite the thoroughness of the report, I wish to draw attention to a significant omission that adversely affects the profitability of today’s farming businesses: the marked increase in adversarial risk, specifically the rise in crime within our rural communities. The escalation of criminal activities—described here as “bad people doing bad things”—poses a genuine threat to the day-to-day operations and long-term sustainability of farms.
Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs and Farm Profitability
Maslow’s psychological motivational theory identifies a five-tier hierarchy of needs, where basic physiological requirements such as air, water, food, and shelter form the foundation. The second level is ‘safety’, which encompasses personal security, access to resources, health, and protection of property. If farmers do not feel safe, or if their land, equipment, livestock, and agricultural data are persistently targeted by criminals, it becomes increasingly difficult—arguably impossible—for farm businesses to remain profitable.
The Need for a Strategic Response
This raises an important question: Should the report advocate for a government-led strategy specifically aimed at reducing rural crime? While the National Police Chiefs’ Council (NPCC) has recently introduced a police Wildlife and Rural Crime Strategy, this initiative falls short by failing to sufficiently engage key stakeholders such as farmers, the private security sector, the agricultural supply chain, and those involved in land management education.
Beyond Policing: A Holistic Approach to Rural Security
Relying solely on policing will not deliver the safe, secure, and resilient farm businesses that the sector requires. A more holistic approach is needed—one that addresses both the likelihood of criminal activity occurring and the impact of such incidents should they take place. Only by tackling both sides of the adversarial risk can we hope to protect the profitability and sustainability of our rural enterprises.



